OK, it’s almost 12:30 AM, and here’s the way I see it:
Georgia and Montana are gimmes for Trump.
Trump will win Pennsylvania; I think he’s up some 700,000 votes, too far beyond the margin of fraud
Trump will win Michigan: he’s up 280,000 votes there
Trump will win North Carolina; he’s up over 100,000 with over 99% of the vote in.
That’s enough to put him over the top.
Trump is up over 100,000 over Wisconsin. But he doesn’t even need that to win if the above are correct.
I predict President Trump has been reelected.
Trump is up some 675,000 votes in Pennsylvania.
That may be a lead outside the range of fraud.
Quinnipiac, which is a garbage pollster, said Biden would win Ohio by 4 points. Trump won it by more than 8 points. https://t.co/Oe6yfiIQSU pic.twitter.com/XJSYfpg22s
— Sean Davis (@seanmdav) November 4, 2020
Trump’s total in Pennsylvania just keeps going up.
ABC finally admits that Trump won Florida.
So it's 2020 and (of course) the election is a total cock-up.
The four most decisive states—WI, MI, PE, MN—won't be called until Friday, and Pennsylvania might not be called until November 12th.
Pace yourself everybody, it's gonna be a long week.
— Daddy Warpig (@DaddyWarpig) November 4, 2020
Trump still up in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
Jodi Ernst wins.
John James (R) up 330,000 in MI SEN.
results from starr county, texas, the most latino county in the united states (96% latino)
2016: clinton+60
2020: biden+5 with >98% reportingwe are witnessing a dramatic and historic realignment pic.twitter.com/PxC7ofJYL7
— Thao Nguyen (@nguyenthevote) November 4, 2020
Trump still up in Virginia.
Hmmm:
There are reports that Philadelphia has stopped counting ballots for the night, but I'm watching the livestream of the Philadelphia Convention Center right now & it looks like the vote counting is yet ongoing. At least a couple dozen vote counters visible.https://t.co/jPoA6IBNiN
— JERRY DUNLEAVY (@JerryDunleavy) November 4, 2020
Trump still up in Michigan.
Other than that, Mrs. Lincoln Project, how was the show?
— Noam Blum (@neontaster) November 4, 2020
I call shenanigans. https://t.co/nuu1yZgCqX
— Daddy Warpig (@DaddyWarpig) November 4, 2020
Texas House not flipping.
Trump back up in Iowa.
Biden finally up in Maine, but Susan Collins looks headed to reelection.
Counterpoint:
WAY too soon to be calling Arizona…way too soon. We believe over 2/3 of those outstanding Election Day voters are going to be for Trump. Can’t believe Fox was so anxious to pull the trigger here after taking so long to call Florida. Wow.
— Jason Miller (@JasonMillerinDC) November 4, 2020
Looks like all of these will pass https://t.co/J1r9HeLxTy
— Diana S. Fleischman (@sentientist) November 4, 2020
Decision Desk calls Ohio for Trump.
They’re calling Arizona to Biden. That’s a pickup for him.
Chip Roy takes the lead over Wendy Davis.
M.J. Hegar concedes in TX-SEN.
Biden up in Iowa, Trump up in Michigan and Virginia.
Trump up HUGE in Pennsylvania,
This is a weird election to figure out.
So, does Biden’s minimalist campaign schedule look like a massive unforced error now?
— Jim Geraghty (@jimgeraghty) November 4, 2020
Trump up by 40,000 votes in North Carolina.
WAY up in Pennsylvania with 30+% of the vote in.
ABC projecting Biden takes New Hampshire.
Many, CBS Austin has some amazingly bad kerning on “2020.”
Chip Roy back within 2000 votes of Wendy Davis.
Good riddance to Beltway swamp creature Donna Shalala https://t.co/lRHIZ6Q01G
— Michelle Malkin (@michellemalkin) November 4, 2020
Biden up in Arizona.
Networks Forced To Pull Biden Projection In Virginia After Race Becomes Too Close To Call https://t.co/2eMzJKT5k9
— Sean Davis (@seanmdav) November 4, 2020
Not only are the networks refusing to call Florida for Trump, they won't even defend the decision to keep it open. They're going out of their way to not even discuss Florida, they're so mad about the results.
It's reminiscent of the refusal to call Ohio for Bush in 2004.
— Sean Davis (@seanmdav) November 4, 2020
Trump up in Wisconsin with 30% of the vote in.
Republican John James is up BIG in Michigan.
Trump seems to be running ahead of where he was in 2016 in Florida and Michigan, and behind where he was in Texas and Ohio.
Biden under-performing Beto in Hays and Williamson counties.
Lindsey Graham up in South Carolina.
Trump still up by 17 points in Michigan.
Trump takes lead in Ohio pic.twitter.com/Y84eJhzxVg
— zerohedge (@zerohedge) November 4, 2020
CNN Promises Not To Call The Race Unless Biden Is Ahead
Trump takes North Dakota, South Carolina.
Crenshaw winning, Hunt behind by 7,000 votes.
ABC Projects John Cornyn wins TX SEN.
McCaul up by only 2% in TX10.
WTF Michael Moore? https://t.co/kxz7u2ZyNr
— FilmLadd (@FilmLadd) November 4, 2020
Gonzalez (R) still ahead in TX-23.
Chip Roy behind with 56% of the vote in for TX-21.
John Carter winning in TX-31.
Strike that. Trump finally up in Texas.
Trump leading in Michigan, Biden up slightly in Texas, but way too early to call.
Williamson County Sheriff Chody (R) going down to defeat.
Some talk of Biden overperforming in Ohio with 50% of the vote in.
Biden pulling in a whopping 28% in Arkansas. 9% in.
Biden's massive underperformance with Hispanics is going to be a major storyline tonight.
— Matt Mackowiak (@MattMackowiak) November 4, 2020
Virginia in play?
If Trump won Loudon 55% to 42%, it’s in play.
— Bethany S. Mandel (@bethanyshondark) November 4, 2020
Trump up by 18% in Michigan, but only 8% of vote in,
Perdue is slaughtering Ossoff.
Bad bad boys, or more Philly vote fraud.
Cocaine Mitch wins.
Also Haggerty:
BREAKING: Republican Bill Hagerty wins election to U.S. Senate from Tennessee. #APracecall at 7:00 p.m. CST. #Election2020 #TNelection https://t.co/lGfinjTqT4
— AP Politics (@AP_Politics) November 4, 2020
Austin update:
Crap. Prop A is leading and Prop B has passed.
Casar winning, alas. But Flannigan is heading for a runoff.
Fox calls Indiana for Trump.
#BREAKING: Republican Byron Donalds wins House race in Florida #ElectionNight https://t.co/0t1npFa84b pic.twitter.com/Tc8We8UXAn
— The Hill (@thehill) November 4, 2020
Trump pulls into lead in #Florida w 85% counted, Panhandle remains
— Legal Insurrection (@LegInsurrection) November 4, 2020
— JRH (@JHolmsted) November 4, 2020
Florida news:
Donald J. Trump has won the State of Indiana and it’s 11 Electoral Votes.
— Aaron J. Carpenter🇺🇸 (@aaronjcarpenter) November 4, 2020
That’s Florida at 54%, but NC at only 1% results, so they’re not exactly equal.
#BREAKING: Republican Byron Donalds wins House race in Florida #ElectionNight https://t.co/0t1npFa84b pic.twitter.com/Tc8We8UXAn
— The Hill (@thehill) November 4, 2020
6:08 PM CST: Some early calls:
Decision Desk HQ Projects Trump(R) Has Won the Election for President in West Virginia
Race Called At 7:30PM ET
All Results: https://t.co/AOgwtoMxNF
— Decision Desk HQ (@DecisionDeskHQ) November 4, 2020
BREAKING: Donald Trump wins Kentucky, @AP project.
— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) November 4, 2020
Donald J. Trump has won the State of Indiana and it’s 11 Electoral Votes.
— Aaron J. Carpenter🇺🇸 (@aaronjcarpenter) November 4, 2020
Vermont goes to Biden.
Expect the newest updates up top.
Just a placeholder now. I’ll get started in earnest after 7 PM or so.
Tags: 2020 Election, 2020 Presidential Race, Democrats, Elections, Indiana, Kentucky, liveblog, Ohio, Republicans, Robert Chody, West Virginia, Williamson County
I predict President Trump has been reelected.
I hope this pans out to be true? Thanks for your efforts with this tonight, now this morning. Much appreciated!
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