Joe Rogan and Seth Dillon have thoughts about the FBI’s raid on Trump’s house.
Joe Rogan Interviews Babylon Bee CEO Seth Dillon On Trump Raid
August 18th, 2022Blog Outage Update
August 17th, 2022Yesterday afternoon, BattleSwarm went down with 500 errors. Contacting Bluehost, they said it was a problem with an old stats plugin. When I went into my dashboard to fix this, surprise! Nothing worked! And the blog was still down hard.
After two round-and-round chat sessions with Indian technical support personnel using vague screen replies, the problem still wasn’t resolved, and they told me it was a server-wide problem affecting many people. And indeed, I’m evidently not alone in having a problem with BlueHost.
Also, this notice from https://www.isitdownrightnow.com doesn’t exactly suggest a company brimming with confidence.
Right now, the blog appears to be up, though with the characteristic slowness and dropped connections during editing that seem common this year. I have not received the email that the second Indian technical support guy promised would be sent when things were resolved.
Hopefully it will stay up long enough to update some plugins…
More Russian Bases In Crimea Go Boom
August 16th, 2022Looks like more Russian bases in Crimea are blowing up despite being hundreds of miles from the front lines.
First up: France 24 reports explosions on a base in NE Crimea:
Caveat: The video map calls the location Mayskoye, which isn’t in Crimea, but across the Kerch strait in Russia proper. Later, they show a tweet with the location as Dzhankoi, which matches up with the location shown on the map.
More video, where you can see subsequent munitions explosions, and which says that Mayskoye is 14 miles from Dzhankoi:
I assume that the Crimean Mayskoye is a local town or subdivision too small to show up in Google Maps.
There are also reports of explosions on the Russian-occupied airfield near Simferopol.
The Russian mass media report of clouds of black smoke over the military airfield in the village of Hvardiiske, Simferopol district of Russian-occupied Crimea.
Source: Kommersant publication with reference to local residents, Christo Grozev, head of Bellingcat on Twitter
Details: Local residents also confirm that clouds of black smoke are seen above the airbase in Hvardiiske.
According to them, several explosions were heard earlier on the territory of the military base.
According to the source, local military departments and law enforcement agencies assume it could be an attack by a small unmanned aerial vehicle that hit an ammunition storage.
Supposedly this is video of the explosion. Usual caveats apply.
3 seconds from flash to bang, she was about a kilometer from the explosion, gives you some idea how big this was ~ pic.twitter.com/Q8RIRIxYbz
— Tomaburque (@tomaburque) August 16, 2022
And this is supposedly video of Russians lining up to leave Simferopol following the strikes:
After today's explosions in Crimea, queues formed at Simferopol railway station
People cannot leave because the occupying "authorities" have shortened the route of trains coming from the russia. #Ukraine #Crimea #Ukraina #StandWithUkraine #Krym #RussiaIsATerroristState pic.twitter.com/pKNGvvYkC6— Saint sinner đșđŠ (@missOlga1201) August 16, 2022
A few takeaways:
New Outbreak Of Violence on U.S./Mexican Border
August 14th, 2022A new wave of cartel violence has broken out Mexican cities on the U.S. border.
Juarez, across the Rio Grande from El Paso:
MEXICO CITY — A gang riot inside a border prison that left two inmates dead quickly spread to the streets of Ciudad Juarez where alleged gang members killed nine more people, including four employees of a radio station, security officials said Friday.
The surge in violence recalled a far more deadly period in Juarez more than a decade earlier. Mexico’s powerful drug cartels commonly use local gangs to defend their territory and carry out their vendettas.
The federal governmentâs security undersecretary, Ricardo MejĂa Berdeja, said the violence started inside the state prison after 1 p.m. Thursday, when member of the Mexicles gang attacked members of the rival Chapos.
Two inmates were killed and 20 injured.
Then suspected gang members outside the prison began burning businesses and shooting up Ciudad Juarez.
âThey attacked the civilian, innocent population like a sort of revenge,â President AndrĂ©s Manuel LĂłpez Obrador said. âIt wasnât just the clash between two groups, but it got to the point in which they began to shoot civilians, innocent people. That is the most unfortunate thing in this affair.â
MejĂa said four employees of MegaRadio who were broadcasting a live promotional event outside a business were killed in the shooting.
Chihuahua state Attorney General Roberto Fierro Duarte said that a boy wounded in a shooting at a convenience store died later at the hospital, two women were killed in a fire at another gas station convenience store and two other men were shot elsewhere in the city.
Fierro said 10 suspects had been arrested.
Violence also erupted in Tijuana:
U.S. government employees in Tijuana, Mexico have been urged to shelter in place as the U.S. consulate warned of multiple vehicle fires, roadblocks and other incidents early on Saturday.
“The U.S. Consulate General Tijuana is aware of reports of multiple vehicle fires, roadblocks, and heavy police activity in Tijuana, Mexicali, Rosarito, Ensenada, and Tecate. U.S. government employees have been instructed to shelter in place until further notice,” the consulate’s official Twitter account said.
The consulate further advised U.S. citizens to avoid the area, seek shelter if in the area, inform their friends and families of their situation and monitor news reports for information.
Police arrested members of the Jalisco New Generation cartel.
Borderlands Blog fingers a more specific subject for being responsible for the roadblocks.
The first suspect of having organized and ordered the narco-blockades yesterday, Friday, in Baja California is Javier AdriĂĄn BeltrĂĄn Cabrera, according to the first indications received by the intelligence areas integrated in the Coordination Table for Peace and Security, reported the weekly Zeta.
BeltrĂĄn Cabrera, also known as “El Javi”, “El Pedrito”, “El Pit” and “Puma”, was imprisoned in 2011 for possession of a weapon and was released.
According to Zeta’s publication, Beltran Cabrera is listed as the leader of a criminal cell called “Los Erres” that had served as hitmen for the Sinaloa Cartel, but in 2022 allied with the Jalisco Cartel – New Generation (CJNG).
“El Puma” was being investigated as the mastermind of multiple murders committed in July and August in eastern Tijuana, but there is no arrest warrant for him.
Zeta reported that in four hours a total of 24 vehicles were set on fire in five of the seven municipalities of Baja California: Mexicali, Tecate, Ensenada, Tijuana and Rosarito.
Here’s video of a truck on fire in Tijuana:
As always, the twists and turns of the ever-present cartel war in Mexico remain seriously under-reported in American media. While calm for a while, Tijuana and Juarez flared up again as turned into hotspots for cartel violence over the last few years, and were ranked the second and third most violent cities in the world last year. (Indeed, seven of the ten most violent cities in the world were in Mexico, along with one each from South Africa, Brazil…and St. Louis. Thanks a lot, Kim Gardner.)
An administration interested in protecting the lives of Americans might clamp down on border security to prevent more cartel members from entering the country. That is not this administration. Their top goal still appears to be keeping the border wide open to get as many illegal aliens to cross over as they possibly can.
Reno 911: Texas Edition
August 13th, 2022If your taxes are high and your town government sucks, what solutions are open to you? Reno, Texas has come up with one solution: disincorporation.
Voters in Reno, a Parker County town west of Fort worth, will consider a ballot proposition next year that would disincorporate their city and abolish the charter.
The group organizing the petition turned in 496 signatures, securing its place on the ballot.
Texas code allows such questions to be put before voters provided the group meets a threshold of 400 signatures, a mark reached earlier this summer in Reno.
Now the prospect will go to the voters.
If a vote to disincorporate passes, the cityâs responsibilities will fall to the larger Parker County jurisdiction.
According to those pushing this initiative, the goal of disincorporation comes on the heels of years of lackluster city services, including issues with their police department and city maintenance departments. These issues include sudden officer resignations and unmaintained city roads.
Proponents for disincorporation also claim their city tax rates are âunreasonably highâ and that those funds are misappropriated. From 2016 to 2020, Reno property tax revenue increased by more than $150,000. Since 2017, the property tax rate has been kept constant, but rising property values result in higher tax bills. When adopting the tax rate, city officials have the appraisal information in front of them.
The alleged lackluster service from the cityâs police department focused on turnover in 2021 when multiple officers resigned, leaving then-chief Tony Simmons as the only officer presiding over the city of 3,000.
The city normally has four full-time officers working in its police department.
Shortly after the resignations of these officers, Simmons and the city mutually agreed to part ways.
âDuring my time as mayor I came to the realization that continuing to fund the City of Reno did not seem like a sustainable thing,â former Reno mayor Eric Hunter, who is heading up the petition effort, told The Texan.
âWe canât continue to adequately maintain our roads and physical infrastructure while still keeping taxes low. The way the city council has been mismanaged, they were going to run us off the road. And I thought, why canât we just be an unincorporated community?â
About the police department issues, Hunter said, âWe had a police department that was well-trained and experienced, and that council ran them off.â
How did they run them off? It sound like the city council refused to pay officers what they were promised.
Two former officers have filed labor claims with the state against the city for unpaid wages following their promotions.
Jason Schmidt, who joined Reno PD at the end of 2018, was promoted to the open position of lieutenant on Aug. 1. The promotion was supposed to come with a raise in pay from $28 an hour to $32, but that didnât happen, according to Schmidtâs claim.
âMayor is refusing to give raise given to me by the chief of police and city administrator,â Schmidt noted in his wage claim, submitted to the state Aug. 19.
Schmidtâs new role made him supervisor of John Thompson III, who was promoted to sergeant Aug. 1, with a pay raise of approximately $4 more per hour.
âMayor stated the council did not approve our promotions,â Thompson wrote in his wage claim as to the reasoning for not being paid. âThe council does not handle promotions and our chief followed all policies.â
Those policies were called into question at last monthâs meeting, during which council members tabled Simmonsâ request for the new salaries and take-home vehicles.
One council member said he was unaware that the officers had already been promoted, with Mayor Pro Tem Randy Martin adding they âwant to be a part of itâ any time thereâs a promotion.
Simmons told the board he had mentioned the promotions to City Administrator Scott Passmore, as he was required to do, and had then been asked to put the item on the agenda. Simmons added that it would not have an affect on his departmentâs budget, as the salaries were already set for the officers who had vacated those positions.
Schmidt echoed Simmonsâ reasoning in his claim to the Texas Workforce Commission, noting that the city âstated that the pay raise has to go before council. However, itâs already budgeted.
So the Reno City Council lost their previous police force either because they were too cheap to pay $1,440 a month in promised promotion increases, or because their egos require their police chief to play Mother May I for existing positions in his own department. I can see why all of them left.
Maybe disincorporation is the right solution.
Taking A Sick Day; Also, Salman Rushdie Stabbed
August 12th, 2022I’ve come down with the first real cold I’ve had in two years, and the 90 minute recall work on my car took 3.5 hours, so I’m tried and pissed off, Maybe a LinkSwarm tomorrow, assuming I’m feeling better.
Meanwhile: Open thread.
Also, writer Salman Rushdie was stabbed in the neck today at an event in The Chautauqua Institution in southwest New York state, near Lake Eire and the Pennsylvania line. As of this writing, Rushdie is evidently still alive and in surgery.
“The current Supreme Leader [of the Islamic Republic of Iran] repeated and reaffirmed the original fatwa as recently as 2019.”
And these are the people the Biden Administration is desperate to do a deal with…
Russians Fleeing Crimea
August 11th, 2022I suppose I should clarify that the Russian fleeing Crimea are not Russian soldiers but civilians.
Videos posted to social media show Russian vacationers fleeing Crimea following blasts at a military air base in the region that Moscow seized from Ukraine in 2014.
Black smoke from the Saki air base located in the west of the peninsula was visible from the nearby packed beaches after the attack on Tuesday which the Russian-appointed head of Crimea, Sergei Aksyonov, said had left one person dead and 14 injured.
The explosion sparked an exodus from the area which has been a popular holiday resort for years with videos showing people driving over the Kerch Bridge that links Crimea with the Russian territory of Krasnodar.
In one video, a woman expressed gratitude that her car was at least moving in the traffic jam, although she tearfully lamented how she had to leave Crimea.
“Special operation. Everything goes according to plan. Russians are fleeing Crimea, there are huge traffic jams on the roads,” Twitter user Lieutenant Kizhe captioned the clip, which by Thursday morning had been viewed more than half a million times.
The news outlet Live Kuban described how Krasnodar residents faced inspections from law enforcement and cars were snarled up in an “incredible” traffic jam. One driver said he had been stuck for almost half an hour just before the bridge.
“The traffic jams toward the Kerch Strait Bridge connecting Crimea with Russia are now dozens of kilometers long.”
24 hours later, still traffic jam to leave Crimea pic.twitter.com/NkLnQ630dK
— Jay in Kyiv (@JayinKyiv) August 10, 2022
100 km traffic jam – people want to leave Crimea.
Do you think Russians will finally begin to understand that it's really a war? pic.twitter.com/KmwLqkxWGI
— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) August 10, 2022
For all the talk of how Crimea is “inseparable” from Russia, it seems like an awful lot of actual Russians are separating from it as quickly as they possibly can. And all this after one missile strike. That would suggest that the locales know something that all the online trolls confidently and bombastically predicting inevitable Russian victory don’t. It’s also a far cry from the tenacious defense the Soviets put up in places like Leningrad and Stalingrad against actual (not pretend) Nazis, where every foot of advance was paid for in blood.
There are also reports of Russian military families living near occupied Kherson leaving.
An accurate picture of who’s winning the Russo-Ukranian War is hard to come by, but right now it sure seems like the Russians are spooked.
Is China Buying Texas Land?
August 10th, 2022The issue of Chinese interests buying up Texas land is one of those stories that has been flitting around the edges of my peripheral awareness for a while. Now Robert Montoya, Jessie Conner and Emily Wilkerson of Texas Scorecard has done a handy deep-dive on the subject.
Many Americans assume incorrectly that American soil is reserved for our citizens and businesses.
The sobering fact, however, is that foreign nationalsâboth individuals and corporationsâown a lot of land in America.
Particularly troubling are incursions by the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) absorbing Texas soil for its strategic geopolitical ends.
Texas Scorecard recently launched a four-part investigative series exposing CCP infiltration of our stateâs education apparatus. During our months-long investigation on the CCPâs activities, it became clear that education was merely one part of a multi-prong incursion into the United States of America.
The second prong we will explore here is their infiltration of our agricultural land.
There are some who wave a hand at concerns about foreign entities and individuals owning land stateside, dismissing them as conspiratorial or xenophobic. However, a review of adversarial countriesâ actions suggests land holdings are strategic and could undermine national and resource security.
Furthermore, concern over CCP ownership of U.S. land isnât a partisan issue. During our investigation, we found multiple instances of Republicans and Democrats making public statements, authoring legislation, and warning of the national security implications of such ownership of U.S.-based assets.
Snip.
For the past decade, the number of purchases of agricultural resources by foreign actors has dramatically increased across the nation, with Texas being No. 1 according to a review of USDA documents. Currently, at least 4.7 million acres of Texasâ agricultural land is owned by a foreign entity or individual.
What is even more troubling is the intended uses of the land and the actors involved in development.
In theory, the U.S. federal government should be keeping track of foreign agricultural land ownership. But time and again, itâs not until the last moment that disclosures are made and concerns are publicly raised. Texas Scorecardâs research on these holdings shows that on more than one occasion, foreign acquisitions that should have been stopped immediately were allowed to progress and only ultimately stymied with great effort.
Overview of the widely ignored Agricultural Foreign Investment Disclosure Act (AFIDA) snipped.
For instance, take Chinaâs land holdings overall. 2020 figures from the USDA put total foreign-owned agricultural land holdings for China at 352,140 acres, up from 191,652 acres in the prior years report. Because of high-profile purchases starting in 2015, a single company owned up to 140,000 acres in South Texas alone.
Instead of comprehensive reporting from the USDA or state agricultural departments, Americans are left with what amounts toâat bestâa (self-reported) guess and a steady stream of stories about foreign entanglements that spring up from time to time.
Also, itâs a poorly guarded secret that foreign land ownership is hidden.
One way some foreign farmland owners circumvent disclosure or state-level laws barring foreign ownership of farmland is shifting property into majority U.S.-owned subsidiariesânot to mention that land holdings by foreign owners are often a moving target. For instance, a particular parcelâs inclusion as foreign-owned land can fluctuate annually if itâs owned by a publicly traded corporation. The threshold of stock ownership is relatively low at 10 percent.
This is the national component of foreign land ownership and the limits of what we can know at that level.
When it comes to Texas, the state does not prohibit the ownership of agricultural land by foreign individuals or entities. There are multiple states that have total bans, while others at least have limits.
While this complacency has been the status quo for the better part of the past two decades, lawmakers appear to be more proactive about keeping tabs on foreign actors.
Global supply chain disruptions in 2020 due to the Chinese coronavirus, followed quickly by the war in Ukraine and growing tensions between the U.S. and China over Taiwan, have lawmakers critically examining foreign infiltrations at home.
A recently concluded comment period on AFIDA disclosed that foreign interest required to make disclosures increased by 2,250, as more foreign persons acquired or transferred an interest in U.S. agricultural land than in prior years and must comply with AFIDA reporting requirements.
According to the latest AFIDA annual report, foreign holdings of U.S. agricultural land increased modestly from 2009 through 2015, increasing by an average of 0.8 million per year. Since 2015, foreign holdings have increased by an average of nearly 2.2 million acres, ranging from 0.8 million acres to 3.3 million acres per year.
Of this increase, most of the purchases are of forest, crop, and pasture lands. Changes in crop and pasture land are âdue to foreign-owned wind companies signing, as well as terminating, long-term leases on a large number of acres.â
Indeed, the largest wind farm in the state of Texas, the Roscoe Wind Farm outside of Abilene, is owned by RWE, a German multinational corporation. The project spans multiple counties and sits atop leased farmland.
While the American publicâs attention has been seemingly fixated on Russia since 2016, the CCPâs activities in the U.S. are just as troubling, if not more. Their ruthless oppression of Chinese citizens, hostile stance towards America, and methodical plan for domination all touch the issue of agricultural land ownership in the U.S. and Texas.
The latest available data from the USDA reported China holding just 352,140 acres of agricultural land, which is slightly less than 1 percent of foreign-held acres. But, as is the case with foreign funds flowing to higher education, the tracking of these transactions is imperfect.
Itâs likely that Chinaâs ownership of land in the U.S. is understated in USDAâs annual reports.
They describe the “Blue Hill Fiasco”:
Beginning in 2015, Sun Guangxin, a Chinese billionaire, began acquiring land to develop a wind turbine farm in South Texas. Eventually, Guangxin snatched up around 140,000 acres in Val Verde, roughly 7 percent of all land in the county.
In 2019, five years after acquisitions began, the proposed development of a wind farm on the land led to an uproar in Texas and at the national level.
A member of the Peopleâs Liberation Army, Guangxin reportedly built his fortune by establishing close ties to Communist party officials, and leveraged these connections to cheaply acquire and redevelop government property to become a real estate tycoon.
Wang Lequan, who was re-elected as secretary of the Xinjiang Party Committee of the Communist Party of China for three consecutive terms since 1995, is the backer behind Guangxin; the forces behind Wang Lequan are Zhou Yongkang and former President of China Jiang Zemin. Supported by Wang Lequan, Sun Guangxin, chairman of the board of directors of Guanghui Group, is one of the few private oil field owners in China.
His base of operations in China deserves special attention too.
The Xinjiang province is where the widely reported oppression of the Uyghur population is taking place. In part, the Uyghur population is used as forced labor. According to Irina Bukharin, two of the goods produced in this region, in disproportionately high figures, include polysilicon (used in solar panels) and wind turbines.
Sunâs plans for the wind farm in South Texas were covered by state and national media outlets. A billionaire, Guangxin is the chairman of Xinjiang Guanghui Industry Investment, which is the parent company of GH America, the company spearheading the wind farm project.
But thereâs more to this story.
âThe acquisition by General Sun out near Del Rio was done by them forming a Delaware Corp called GH America,â J. Kyle Bass, chief investment officer of Hayman Capital and founding member of the Committee on the Present Danger: China, told Texas Scorecard. âThey funded the Delaware Corp with dollars from a CCP-owned institution in America. You basically had a U.S. corporation, funded with U.S. dollars, buying U.S. property. It was really difficult to understand who the actual owner was and what kind of sovereignty was represented there.â
GH America also positioned itself to influence the legislative process. According to Texas Ethics Commission records, Stephen Lindsey is registered to lobby for the company. Heâs widely reported as the vice president of government and regulatory affairs for GH America. According to Transparency USA, from January to September 2021, during the regular and special state legislative sessions that year, Lindseyâs contract was anywhere from $93,150 to more than $186,000.
Thereâs also a national security risk. Sunâs planned wind farm at Blue Hill was not far (70 miles) from Laughlin Air Force Base. This proximity alarmed many. There are also liquified natural gas deposits in the area.
Bass says the CCPâs aim here is surveillance.
âBasically, they call it âover the horizonâ mapping. If you get the point higher and higher, you can map more and more, i.e. you can increase the linear distance that you can map,â he explained. âWith their new ability ⊠they can map things within one inch of specificity and clarity of things that are 50 miles away from 700 feet. Whatâs interesting about that is Laughlin Air Force Base is 30 miles away, and the restricted airspace is 10 miles away from the main ranch.â
Texas Agriculture Commissioner Sid Miller told Texas Scorecard the CCP bought farm land near another Air Force base in North Dakota. âWe donât need to give them listening capabilities to our aircraft coming in out of those [military installations] and other communications coming out,â he said. âItâs crazy enough just to allow our biggest enemy to be purchasing our own soil.â
Bass discussed how the South Texas purchase was allowed to take place. âSteve Mnuchin at [U.S.] Treasury gave a quick Friday-night special OFAC [Office of Foreign Assets] approval without [U.S. Dept. of Defense] being in the room, which is pretty crazy,â he said. âIf Treasury is the nexus of [the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States], and all of the other departments chime in when they can, there should not be an ability for a unilateral approval or approval by the U.S. Treasury secretary, who might be corrupted by the Chinese government.â
When asked, Bass said we donât know how much land the CCP or its connected entities have in Texas. He explained the Lone Star Infrastructure Protection Act (Texas Senate Bill 2116 passed in 2021), âencouragedâ the U.S. Dept. of Defense to assign task forces to examine CCP land holdings near DOD installations. âI know they found some more in Texas, but I donât know how much more.â
Sen. Ted Cruz (RâTX) was a vocal opponent of the Blue Hills wind farm development, issuing a letter in 2020 to then-Treasury Secretary Mnuchin seeking a private briefing on the project. The junior senator from Texas also proposed legislation that would trigger the review of wind projects within a certain distance of a military installation.
This isnât the first time a Chinese company has tried to install a wind farm near a U.S. military installation.
In 2012, Ralls, an American company owned by two Chinese nationals, purchased multiple American-owned wind farm companies with several project sites. Four of these sites were within restricted U.S. Navy airspace in the Pacific Northwest.
This part of the purchase raised national security concerns, and Ralls was told to divest and destroy the cement pads theyâd poured for construction of its mills near the base. The company sued the government and, troublingly, was successful at first.
Eventually, the company was defeated in its efforts and had to divest. The fact that this episode did not dissuade future attempts speaks to the persistence of the CCP to take part in the production of energy stateside.
There is also a connection between Ralls and Texas. The blades spinning at many wind farm sites in Texas are produced by SANY, the parent company of Ralls, which is owned by the richest man in mainland China, Liang Wengen.
According to a Forbes profile, Wengen worked as a top manager at a state arms plant before getting into heavy construction equipment. He joined the ruling elite in 2011, becoming a member of the CCP.
At the very least, Chinese nationals and the corporations owned by them should have to abide by the same limits China itself places on foreign ownership of land in China. Fundamentally, foreigners cannot own land in China without actually living there, and are further limited to one property per location. Plus there are a wide number of complex rules on foreign ownership of Chinese businesses.
It seems, at the very least, that a survey of land within 10 miles of military bases in Texas to determine if any have hostile foreign ownership may be in order…
Russian Airbase In Crimea Goes Boom
August 9th, 2022Multiple loud explosions have rocked a Russian military airfield in occupied Crimea:
Evidently the explosions shattered windows for a kilometer around.
No windows within 1 km of todayâs Ukrainian missile strike on the Russian airbase in Crimea survived.
The Ukrainian Army has sent a powerful message to the Russian.
Crimea is now within reach. pic.twitter.com/OKkWxs7zRl
— VisegrĂĄd 24 (@visegrad24) August 9, 2022
Russian military assets blowing up in Ukraine isn’t news, especially now that they’ve fielded HIMARS. What is news is these strikes are a good 200 kilometers from the front line.
As images of large explosions in Russian-occupied Crimea flashed across social media, the Russian Ministry of Defense on Tuesday claimed they were the result of “several aviation munitions destroyed” at the Russian Navy’s Saki Air Base near the village of Novofedorivka.
The incident occured [sic] about 3:20 p.m. local time, according to an official Ministry of Defense (MOD) statement.
Snip.
A senior Ukrainian military official with knowledge of the situation told The New York Times that Ukrainian forces were behind the explosion.
âThis was an air base from which planes regularly took off for attacks against our forces in the southern theater,â the official said, speaking on the condition of anonymity to discuss sensitive military matters. The official would not tell the Times what type of weapon used in the attack, saying only that âa device exclusively of Ukrainian manufacture was used.â
A top Crimean official earlier on Tuesday confirmed there were several explosions in Novofedorivka.
âSo far, I can only confirm the very fact of several explosions in the Novofedorivka area. I ask everyone to wait for official messages and not to produce versions. Oleg Kryuchkov, adviser to the head of Crimea, said on Tuesday on his Telegram channel.
Viktoria Kazmirova, deputy head of the administration of the Saki district, also reported explosions at the airfield, according to Russian state-run media outlet TASS.
“Our airfield is exploding. Explosions at the airfield. Here all the windows were broken,” Kazmirova said.
The regional health ministry “reported that ambulances and medical aviation were sent to the site of the explosions, information about the victims is being specified.”
Saki Air Base, which Russia occupied when it took over Crimea in 2014, is home to the Russian Navyâs 43rd Independent Naval Attack Aviation Regiment (43 OMShAP). This regiment flies 12 Su-30SMs, six Su-24Ms, and six Su-24MRs, and came to prominence during several encounters with NATO forces in the Black Sea in 2021.
U.S. officials have told The War Zone in the recent past that targets in Crimea are fair game for Ukrainian forces using advanced U.S. weapons. The U.S. sees Crimea as illegally occupied by Russia and no different than the territory it holds in eastern Ukraine. As such, all military targets are fair game, as well as critical infrastructure it relies on to keep its war machine and occupation efforts running.
While some Ukrainian officials claim their military carried out an attack on the base, it is not unheard of for major accidents at Russian ammunition supply depots to occur, although the chances of that being the case are relatively slim in this instance.
However, Novofedorovka is about 124 miles (200 kilometers) from the front lines.
The Saki Air Base seems to be well beyond the range of Ukraine’s long-range fires.
Ukraine has 16 M142 High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems, or HIMARS, provided by the U.S. as well as three M270 systems provided by the United Kingdom.
Both can fire a variety of 227mm rockets, including Guided Multiple Launch Rocket System (GMLRS) types made by Lockheed Martin, as well as the Army Tactical Missile System (ATACMS) short-range ballistic missiles. So far, the U.S. has only provided Ukraine with an unpublicized amount of M31 rockets with 200-pound class unitary warheads, which are GPS/INS guided and can hit targets at a distance of around 43 miles (70 kilometers.) The Biden administration is reluctant to provide longer-range and harder-hitting ATACMS out of concern that it might rile the Russians. In particular, it could provide a means for Ukraine to execute precision strikes on a large variety of targets well into Russia.
200km is well beyond the range of the missiles we’ve publicly given Ukraine (and of the UK-supplied MLRS system, but within the range of the ATACMS missiles we haven’t announced we’re supplying.
It’s possible this was a long-range drone strike, as 200km is well within the range of the Turkish TB2 Bayraktar drones that Ukraine is known to possess. It’s also possible that Ukraine has developed their own long-range missile system. After all, Germany had V1s and V2s that could attacked at that range all the way back in 1944. And it’s also possible that this was a ship-launched attached fired from closer in.
Whatever the actual weapon used, there seem to be very few locations in Russian-occupied Ukraine safe from further such attacks.