Posts Tagged ‘polls’

Texas Senate Race Update for July 6, 2012

Friday, July 6th, 2012

Been a busy week blowing things up and reading stories for an upcoming science fiction workshop, so here’s a quick senate race update:

  • Ted Cruz picks up the endorsement of Dallas-area U.S. Congressman Michael Burgess. Burgess had previously endorsed Tom Leppert.
  • The Cruz campaign released an internal poll showing Cruz leading Dewhurst 49%-40%. All the usual internal poll caveats apply.
  • More on the poll’s methodology. If memory serves, they never released any methodology on those Michael Baselice internal polls the Dewhurst team kept leaking to favored journalists…
  • And still more on the methodology.
  • Ted Cruz on Glenn Beck.
  • Past and current presidents of Texa Eagle Forum Split endorsements between Dewhurst and Cruz.
  • Cruz: Let’s have five debates. Dewhurst: OK. Cruz: OJ, let’s debate. Dewhurst Sorry, too busy simonizing my cat.
  • Cruz to Dewhurst surrogate Mike Richards: Thanks for coming out. Richards to Cruz: Die in a fire. I may be paraphrasing a little…
  • Kate Alexander offers up the current state of play.
  • Dewhurst sets up an Astroturf twitter feed: @TxSenFactCheck.
  • Dewhurst is willing to campaign after the election. Insert your own joke here.
  • Post-Primary Senate Race Roundup

    Wednesday, May 30th, 2012

    Here are the full results on the Republican and Democratic sides.

    Here are some random post-primary race tidbits. I’ll probably have a separate post about the mysterious Grady Yarbrough coming up in a day or two.

  • Last night was really two polls, and Cruz is only 3% behind in the most recent one.
  • The extraordinary nature of the runoff.
  • Cruz wants five debates with Dewhurst.
  • Paul Sadler wants in on that action as well. Whoa, dude. You better worry about slowing that Grady Yarbrough juggernaut first…
  • FreedomWorks is thrilled with Cruz’s showing.
  • At the bottom of this story, you can vote on whether Dewhurst’s last-minute amnesty smear was racist or not. Over 83% are currently voting yes.
  • Craig James issues a gracious, classy concession statement.
  • Speaking of James: Well, this isn’t very nice…
  • Even Paul Burka has has wised-up to fake Dewhurst internal polls. “Well, fool me once, shame on you, fool me twenty times, shame on me. The Dewhurst campaign has made too many claims about why a Dewhurst victory was inevitable without backing them up. The only poll that matters is the one that will be taken on July 31.”
  • Speaking of polls, both PPP and UT/TT polls were in the ballpark for the Republican race, but horribly off for the Democratic side. Any ideas why?
  • Sean Hubbard endorses Paul Sadler.
  • New PPP Poll: Dewhurst 38%, Cruz 26%

    Wednesday, April 25th, 2012

    A new PPP poll shows that Ted Cruz continues to gain ground on David Dewhurst. Dewhurst’s lead has decreased 6 points from a PPP poll in January, when it was Dewhurst 36% and Cruz 18%. I think this is also the first public poll where we can track numbers from the previous poll. Tom Leppert was well back at 8%, followed closely by Craig James at 7%. Margin of error was +/-4.0%.

    Full poll results here.

    Not only does Cruz continue to gain ground. but Dewhurst remains below the 50% threshold he need to avoid a runoff.

    Fasten your seat belts, we’re in for a hell of a month…

    The Two Year Anniversary of ObamaCare

    Wednesday, March 21st, 2012

    Today is the two year anniversary of the passage of ObamaCare. Note that Republicans are marking the anniversary of Obama’s signature achievement, while the White House is not. Even Democratic Whip Steny Hoyer admits that it’s an electoral liability for Democrats.

    That might have something to do with its stupendous unpopularity, not only among Republicans, but also among Democrats. Obama says that’s because of attack ads against it. Charles Krauthammer says that’s bunk:

    There’s a widespread understanding that ObamaCare isn’t good for anyone, especially young people, and it’s a budgetary disaster.

    And next week the Supreme Court will hear arguments on its constitutionality. Many are suggesting that a decision in ObamaCare’s favor will actually damage Obama’s reelection chances.

    It wasn’t supposed to work out this way. Liberals thought ObamaCare would get more popular after passage. Instead, it was one of the biggest factors in the historic wipe-out Democratic House members experienced in 2010.

    More specifically, eight out of the eleven “Stupak Block Flippers” (i.e., the theoretically staunch pro-life Democrats who swore up and down they would never, ever, ever vote for ObamaCare if it included taxpayer funding for abortion, right up until they voted for taxpayer-funded abortion) went down in electoral defeat. At the time, the insistence for public funding for abortion seemed like a tactical error on the part of liberals. After all, why bother with that tiny sop to feminists when you’re busy nationalizing one-sixth of the economy?

    But since then, the fervor with which Democrats have pursued imposing this mandate on Catholics (part and parcel of their contempt for religion), their white hot fury at Rush Limbaugh’s (admittedly foolish) remarks, and the continuing overheated, drama queen “war on women” rhetoric coming from the left side of the blogsphere suggests that yes, that was what ObamaCare was really about, and they’re willing to remain a permanent political minority to maintain it.

    So be it. If forcing taxpayers to pay for abortions is the hill they want to die on*, I suppose we should let them. (Though not at the cost of failing to mention Obama’s failure on the economy, on creating the conditions for private industry to create jobs, Fast & Furious, or his naked cronyism.) As Mickey Kaus has noted, this issue is a serious political loser for Obama, and we should keep hammering away on it, not despite the shrieks of outrage from liberalism’s feminist amen corner, but because of them.


    *”Violent, eliminationist” military metaphor offered up as free rhetorical bonus!

    Perry Tops Obama 44% to 41% in Latest Poll

    Thursday, September 1st, 2011

    According to Rasmussen, “for the first time this year, Texas Governor Rick Perry leads President Obama in a national Election 2012 survey. Other Republican candidates trail the president by single digits.” That’s within the margin of error, but it’s still a striking result. Go back to November 4th of 2008 and tell victorious liberals that Obama would be tied in the polls with a conservative Texas governor and they would have looked at you like you had a rabid duck on your head.

    Plenty of liberals had been hoping to see Rick Perry get the GOP nomination because they regarded him as (next to Bachmann and Palin) too conservative to win. Much like liberals thinking the same of Ronald Reagan in 1979, they may rue getting their wish…

    “Americans Still Trust Own Judgment More Than Politicians'”

    Thursday, October 14th, 2010

    Imagine that. Ordinary Americans thinking they know what’s better for themselves than their political betters. Has someone informed The New York Times of this heresy?

    And yes, that’s the actual Gallup Poll headline, not an Iowahawk parody of a Gallup Poll headline.

    Which Left-Wing Media Outlet Deserves to Die First?

    Wednesday, May 5th, 2010

    Today the Washington Post announced that it was putting money-losing news magazine Newsweek up for sale. You may remember Newsweek‘s decision a couple of years ago to remake itself as a liberal opinion magazine (something ably lampooned by the indispensable Iowahawk). Since then, Newweek has managed the amazing feat of actually losing readers faster than most legacy media.

    Of course, that brings up an interesting question: Which left-wing news outlet would you most like to see go out of business first? To that end, I’ve created a poll:

    The Washington Post just announced they’re putting Newsweek up for sale. Which left-wing media outlet deserves to go out of business first?
    CBS News
    Los Angeles Times
    MSNBC
    Newsweek
    New York Times
    National Public Radio
    Salon
    Time
    Washington Post
      
    Free polls from Pollhost.com

    Vote away, good reader, vote away!

    Obama Now More Loathed than Bush at the end of his term

    Tuesday, December 22nd, 2009

    According to Rasmussen, via Gateway Pundit.

    Man, that’s got to sting. That’s what happens when you ignore mounting job losses to push expensive legislation that everyone hates.

    Hey, just imagine if Obama announced that he was asking Congress to kill ObamaCare and cap-and-trade, and instead concentrate on bringing down the deficit and eliminating government disincentives to growth? Just imagine how much his poll numbers would rebound!

    Nahhhhhh. That would take someone more politically savy, someone willing to turn his back on the unpopular liberal nostrums of his core supporters to save his own political skin. Someone like…Bill Clinton.

    Did you ever think we’d be comparing Obama unfavorably to Clinton before the first year of his first term was even out?

    Polls for Obama, ObamaCare, continue to plunge

    Friday, December 11th, 2009

    61% now oppose ObamaCare.

    And according to Gallup, only 47% still support Obama himself. (Quinnipiac puts it at 46%.)

    And, to add insult to injury, 44% now say they’d prefer to have Bush 43 back as President rather than Obama.

    OK, let’s start the pool: At what date do you predict a plurality of voters will say they would prefer Bush back as President rather than Obama? My completely unscientific guess is March 21, 2010.

    If Obama is the Democratic Party’s quarterback…

    Tuesday, November 24th, 2009

    …then right now his passer rating is a couple of points better than JaMarcus Russell.