Liveblogging the Austin Texas Senate Candidate Forum

July 30th, 2011

5:30: I have to duck out for another appointment. Hopefully some further thoughts tomorrow.

5:29: Pettinger: Will filibuster any new organizations, opposes executive orders, Czar. Would eliminate Dept of Health and Human Services.

I’m surrounded by several young children who are amazingly well behaved.

5:26: Q to Addison: Advise and Consent: “What comes to my mind is treaties.” Sounded like trees. Favors fair trade, opposes tree trade. “The government has been in my way for 42 years.”

5:26: Q to Leppert: Separation of church and state. Hugo Black invented phrase in 1946. Go back to Constitution.

5:24: “The floodgates must be closed.” Favors legal immigration, opposes illegal immigration.”

5:22: Q to Addison: Secure the border: Posse Comitatus should be amended to allow citizen capture, Bring troops home from Germany and Japan.” Wild applause. “Obey the law and come in legally.” Addison is passionate speaker, and I wish he was running for lower office.

5:20: Followup Q. Shouldn’t it be the electorate? Look at John Quincy Adams, who went back to the House to fight slavery.

5:18: Q to Pettinger: “Support term limits?” “Yes, but we need term limits on bureaucrats.” Eric Holder was there 20 years. Limit time in federal bureaucracy.

5:17: Spoke on April 15, 2009. Senior thesis based on the 9th and 10th Amendment. Lots of small meetings.

5:15: Q to Cruz: “It’s vogue to be a Tea Party candidate. How many Tea Parties did you attend when you didn’t speak? Set up chairs, table, etc.” Interesting question.

5:13: What right does the federal government has to regulate the 2nd Amendment: “No.” “Do we have the right to own a Tomahawk Cruise missile?” “You can take it to ridiculous lengths.”

5: 12: Q to Leppert: 2nd Amendment. 2nd is the rule. Strong proponent. Basis of our nation.

5:11: What legislation for commerce clause: “Repeal ObamaCare, shrink the government, pass balanced budget amendment.”

5:10: Followup to Cruz: How will you meet with citizens: Traveled all over the state to build conservative grass roots army. Stop the Obama agenda.

5:08: Q to Cruz: Commerce clause, Wickard vs. Fillburn (which Cruz brought up in our interview): “The commerce clause has been the most significant vehicle for the expansion of the federal government.” Worst decision ever, paved way for ObamaCare. Brings back up record again. Look at record leading coalition of states to strike down Endangered Species Act.

5:07: Pettinger: No elected office, but has lived her values. Not bad response.

5:03: Q to Pettinger: 14th Amendment birthright citizenship. Originally passed because they were brought here in a murderous way. Not applicable for illegal immigration today. Need to see birth certificate. Need clarification on 14th amendment. May need Const. Amendment.

5:00: Q to Addison: What department would you eliminate: Dept of Ed, even though that was excluded from Q. Said he worked on local ed board. Also Medicaid. Block grants. “After verifying citizenship, use as you see fit.” States are incubators of democracy. Let states compete. “You can vote state reps out. You can’t vote out a bureaucrat.”

4:58: Leppert: “Education is the civil rights record of our time. Abolish Dept. of Education.” Use education as an issue. Used on money on scholarships for tough areas. Empower local area, implement choice, real standards.

4:57: Questioner really wants detail on black outreach. “Make the case for those wanting to climb the ladder. The left’s policies don’t work.”

Cruz gives his father’s story.

4:55: Q to Cruz: Republican appeals to “people of color” [I hate that phrase-LP]: “Our future is short-lived if we don’t attract minorities, but you don’t do that by watering down your conservative principles.”

Cruz: Took lead in intervening in Beaumont gay marriage divorce case.

Addison: “Do whatever you want in the privacy of your own home, but don’t ruin the godly word of marriage.”

Leppert: “Marriage is one man and one woman.”

4:52: Q to Pettinger: Gay marriage amendment. Pettinger: Gay marriage advocates are suing Christians in the marriage industry. We need an amendment.”

4:52: Addison says he has to have different corporations for his funeral homes, his cemeteries, and his crematoriums.

4:51: Leppert echos call for flat tax

4:50: Pettinger: “We need a flat tax. If 10% is good enough for God, it’s good enough for us.”

4:49: Q to Cruz: “What’s the proper level of taxation?” Cruz: “As low as possible.” Need to move to a flat tax or fair tax.

4:49: Leppert: A sense of values.

4:48: Pettinger: “The foundation is firm, the house on it is rickety.”

4:47: Cruz trots out his Ashcroft bit. “If I’m accused of being a Christian I hope they have enough evidence to convict me.” Ditto for conservatism.

4:46: Q to Addison: “Defining conservatism” “Federal power must be reduced.”

Keep in mind these are paraphrasing answers. I can’t type that fast!

4:45: Pettinger: “I’m the only one who’s given birth. I can stand down the feminists.”

4:44: Cruz: I fought for the unborn on the Supreme Court.

4:43: Addison shows cell-phone pic of his unborn daughter.

4:42: Q to Leppert: “Support overturning Roe v. Wade.” Leppert: Yes.

4:42: Cruz: “My daughters were born tens of thousands of dollars in debt. The guys fighting the debt have endorsed me.” DeMint, Rand Paul, etc.

4:41: Addison: “The founding fathers were terribly bothered by debt.”

4:40: Leppert: “The reality is we have to look at the future obligations, which makes the debt between $70-$90 trillion, $700,000 per household.” [mental typo corrected…]

4:39: Q to Pettinger: “Proper level of federal debt” “Zero.”

4:38: Pettinger is a fiery speaker.

4:37: Q to Cruz: “Define Federalism.” “Limit the size and scope of the federal government. Repeal every syllable of ObamaCare.”

4:36: “And now for David Dewhurst. Oh wait, he’s not here.”

4:35: “You’re eligible to be Senator at 30 and there’s not one under 40.”

4:35: Pettinger: slams recycling of old candidates.

4:34: Addison is a good speaker. Better than EAJ, who isn’t here.

4:33: Addison: “I’m tired of having career politicians tell me how to vote.”

4:32: Seems like he’s trying to cram his regular speech into 90 seconds.

4:31: Leppert next. Thanks audience for coming out. “We need to be honest. We’re moving toward insolvency.” Slams political class. Speaking a little too fast.

4:30: Ted Cruz opening remarks. Quotes extensively from Dec. of Independence. Says Obama is “the most radical President in our history.”

4:29: Still figuring out how to right-click the MacBook trackpad, so forgive any spelling errors.

4:28: Introducing the interviewers.

4:27: More tepid for Leppert, loud and boisterous for Pettinger.

4:26: Good applause for Addison, better for Cruz.

4:24: This will be the first time I’ve seen Andrew Castanuela [Heard beforehand he would be here, but he wasn’t] and Glenn Addison, and the first time I’ve seen Lela Pettinger on stage.

4:23: 90 minute introductory remarks, 60 second question answers. Terse.

4:22: “David Dewhurst won’t be here. I’m assuming he will be auditioning for The Biggest Loser.”

4:20 PM: Introductory remarks still going on. Co-sponsored by the Austin and Llano Tea Parties.

Just finished interviewing Ted Cruz. Will attempt to liveblog the Austin Texas Senate Candidate Forum.

Michael Williams Switches Races (Again)

July 30th, 2011

First Michael Williams announced he was dropping out of the Senate race to run for the newly created House District 33. Then, a few weeks after that, Roger Williams announces he’s doing the same, setting up a Williams vs. Williams showdown for House District 33. Yesterday, Michael Williams announced he was switching races to District 25, currently held by Lloyd Doggett, but which has been redistricted to be a mostly rural/suburban district running from just south of Ft. Worth all the way down to incorporate parts of Travis and Hayes counties.

Here’s an interactive map of the new Texas congressional districts for 2012.

Not sure how I feel about the switch. Certainly both Williamses struck me as conservative enough to represent Texas, and there would be lots of benefits to having another bright, articulate black conservative in the House. But I’m not wild about carpetbagger bids; no one should move to a new district just to get elected (legislators specifically gerrymandered out of their old districts just to get rid of them excepted).

Texas Senate Race Update for July 29, 2011

July 29th, 2011

A few tidbits of Texas senate race news for a lazy Friday:

  • There is a Tour of Texas Senatorial Forum in Austin tomorrow, Saturday July 30th, 2011, from 4:00 – 6:00 PM at the Texas Capitol Extension Auditorium at 1100 N Congress Ave, Room E1.004. I expect to attend, and hopefully should get a chance to interview one of the candidates before the forum, if all goes well.
  • Hotline on Call on how conservative senators in D.C. want Cruz to join their ranks.
  • Mark Whittington on Cruz vs. Dewhurst, and the outsider vs. insider dynamic.
  • David Dewhurst meets with the McLennan County Republican Women’s Club.
  • Cruz takes credit for four straight straw poll wins.
  • Elizabeth Ames Jones spoke in Lubbock.
  • I’ve actually been looking for Ricardo Sanchez news and not finding any, or rather the only news is non-news: There was a liberal “Texas Labor Rally to Protect Social Security and Medicare” he was scheduled to appear at…and he didn’t even bother to show up.
  • The Obama State Department: Keeping Us Safe from Ugandan Little Leaguers

    July 29th, 2011

    “The first youth baseball team from Africa to advance to the Little League World Series has been denied visas to enter the U.S.”

    But don’t worry: I’m sure this decision won’t affect the State Department’s ability to supply us with a steady stream of Wahabbist clerics from Saudi Arabia…

    Iowahawk on the Coming Debt Limit Armageddon

    July 28th, 2011

    He paints a picture of unimaginable horror:

  • Roving bands of outlaws stalk our streets, selling incandescent bulbs to vulnerable children.
  • Breadlines teeming with jobless Outreach Coordinators, Diversity Liaisons, and Sustainability Facilitators.
  • General Motors unfairly forced to build cars that people want, for a profit.
  • Chaos reigns at Goldman Sachs, who no longer knows who to bribe with political donations.
  • At-risk Mexican drug lords forced to buy own machine guns.
  • Oh the humanity!

    Adding Stuff from Hsoi to the Blogroll

    July 26th, 2011

    A new addition to the gun blog list is Stuff from Hsoi.

    I first came across his blog with a link to this unnerving account of a “flash mob,” (i.e., a gang of black teenagers) smashing windows and looting cars in a suburban cul-de-sac in north Austin.

    Doing another search today, I found out that Hsoi is employed my friend Karl Rehn at KRTraining, and that gives me a handy excuse to put him on the list.

    Texas Senate Race Updates For July 26, 2011

    July 26th, 2011

    I’ve been meaning to do a general Senate Race update all weekend, but things have been hopping:

  • Jim Geraghty has a piece up over at National Review Online on Ricardo Sanchez’s disappointing debut. I get quoted on the race.
  • Ted Cruz wins the endorsement of Rand Paul.
  • Cruz defends Rick Perry’s upcoming prayer meeting.
  • U.S. Rep. Michael Burgess, representing Texas’ 26th Congressional District, endorses Tom Leppert. The 26th runs from south of Ft. Worth up to the Oklahoma border (or at least did before this year’s redistricting), so it’s right in Leppert’s backyard. Though not one of the more prominent members of the Texas delegation, Burgess has an impressive 95% rating from the American Conservative Union, making this really the first notable conservative endorsement Leppert has picked up.
  • A report on the candidates forum sponsored by the Denton County Republican Party last week.
  • Leppert get’s a mostly flattering profile by Big Jolly Politics’ David Jennings, though Jennings does ding him for his support for Dallas workers to unionize. (Jennings doesn’t mention Leppert’s contributions to liberal Democrat Ron Kirk’s Senate campaign.) Jennings also says he doesn’t have much use for the term “RINO”:

    By now, if you have read this far, it should be clear that Mr. Leppert is not some wild-eyed liberal trying to pick the pockets of the taxpayer. You wouldn’t know that if you listened to the self-appointed RINO hunters in the Texas Republican party. Gawd I hate that term.

    Hmmm. I may resemble that remark…

  • Leppert’s communication guy Shawn McCoy is leaving the campaign, being replaced by Daniel Keylin, though Leppert campaign manager Josh Kivett will be handling those duties during a transition period.
  • If David Dewhurst wants to convince conservative’s he’s one of us, maybe he shouldn’t have picked the campaign manager for Arnold Schwarzenegger.
  • Elizabeth Ames Jones was on the Mark Davis show on WBAP.
  • More Oslo Shooting Fallout (and Some Notes on Breivik’s Guns)

    July 25th, 2011

    This is a relatively short post, as I don’t currently have time to address some of the larger issues, like what should be the response when someone who shares at least some of the same beliefs you do commits a heinous act. Just as the violence of John Brown’s raid on Harper’s Ferry did not automatically invalidate the moral underpinnings of the anti-slavery cause, Anders Behring Breivik’s rampage does not automatically invalidate concerns about the Islamization of Europe.

  • Police have lowered the death toll to 76.
  • Mark Steyn, one of the authors Breivik quotes in his manifesto (along with “Churchill, Gandhi, Orwell, Jefferson, John Locke, Edmund Burke, Bernard Shaw, [and] Mark Twain”) comments with his usual eloquence. “When a Norwegian man is citing Locke and Burke as a prelude to gunning down dozens of Norwegian teenagers, he is lost in his own psychoses. Free societies can survive the occasional Breivik. If Norway responds to this as the Left appears to wish, by shriveling even further the bounds of public discourse, freedom will have a tougher time.”
  • Bruce Bawer, who lives in Oslo, makes a number of important points about the shabby treatment of Jews in Norway, and how the current government has played footsie with Islamic terrorism and squelched criticism of Islam.
  • Bawer also had this to say in The Wall Street Journal: “Several of us who have written about the rise of Islam in Europe have warned that the failure of mainstream political leaders to responsibly address the attendant challenges would result in the emergence of extremists like Breivik.”
  • Geert Wilders, probably the leading European opponent of Islamization, called Breivik “violent and sick” and said that he and his Freedom Party “abhors all that Breivik represents and has done.”
  • Powerline: “A key ingredient in the tragedy was the fact that the killer had the only gun on the island.”
  • If you’re really a right-winger, why would you want to copy large chunks of your manifesto from the Unabomber?
  • Furthering the weird-conspiracy theory vibe of Breivik being a Freemason, he also considered himself a member of the Knights Templer. It’s like he was trying to live out a Dan Brown novel.
  • This Telegraph piece on the shooting contains many interesting tidbits, including the fact that one of the people killed on Utoya was an off-duty police officer and half-brother of Norway’s Princess Mette-Mari.
  • Differences between conservatives and Jihadists: Jihadists celebrate such acts of violence, conservatives condemn them.
  • There’s been a lot of interest in what sort of weapon Breivik used. Though police have not released any details on what weapons were involved in his killing spree, in line with some comments here, Breivik appeared to own a Ruger Mini-14 and a Glock 17. The Ruger Mini-14 may be the gun shown here:

    Though one knowledgeable emailer thinks it could just as easily be an AR-15 or an AK-47 with mounting rails, tricked out with what appears to be a mount (more below), a light, a bayonet, and maybe a laser sight? Though you don’t often see one mounted so far off the center line. He’s got so much tactical bling on there it looks like he’s trying to win a contest for Most Crap Mounted Off a Forward Rail. Seems deeply impractical. Though if it was tricked out like that during his rampage, obviously it wasn’t impractical enough.

    Dwight located what appears to be the actual mount shown in that picture: the Botech Tactical Grip Pod Automatic Tactical BiPod Foregrip. As the animation on the product page illustrates, the two parts of the bipod telescope out to a standard bipod, making it a lot less useless than it seems in the picture.

    I’m not enough of a gun expert to tell you what the light, scope, etc. shown are. Feel free to comment below if you do.

    The Ruger Mini-14 Tactical Rifle fires 5.56mm NATO/.223 Remington, which is the same cartridge usually used in other “assault rifles” like the AR-15 and the M-16.

    The Glock-17, despite some media scare-mongering, is a solid, reliable, bog-standard 9mm automatic pistol notable only for lighter weight achieved through the use of composites.

    Both will indeed kill you quite dead in the hands of a knowledgeable shooter. Then again, wearing a police uniform, alone on an island with unarmed teenagers for more than an hour, Breivik probably could have killed just about as many with a bolt-action M1903 Springfield rifle.

    Texas Senate Race Spending: A Look at This Point In Previous Cycles

    July 25th, 2011

    Now that half the fundraising year has passed, I wanted to take a look at how the funds raised this year compare to this point in years past.

    Unfortunately, it’s been so long since there’s been a competitive regular Republican Senate primary in Texas (I’m discounting the special election of 1993 because it’s difficult to compare special elections to regular elections) that it’s hard to find a precedent for that side of the race. John Cornyn had no serious competition in 2002. Indeed, you’d have to go back to Beau Boulter vs. Wes Gilbreath in 1988 for a truly competitive regular Texas Republican senatorial primary. And the main FEC page doesn’t go back before 1999.

    So let’s look at the Democratic side of the race, where there’s a lot more precedent for an open race. While my initial assessment of Ricardo Snachez’s $160,000 was it was about what you’d expect given his late start, it seems disappointing in light of what previous Democratic senatorial candidates were able to raise.

    2008 Senate Race

    For the 2008 race against John Cornyn, trail lawyer Mikal C. Watts had already raised over $3 million by July of 2007, mostly through self-funding. What, you never heard of Watts? That might be because, despite his financial firepower, he dropped out of the race before the primary. Why? Well, it might have something to do with the fact that letters came out showing him pressuring litigation targets to settle by bragging about how much money he had contributed to appellate judges who would hear the case:

    “This court is comprised of six justices, all of whom are good Democrats,” Watts wrote. “The Chief Justice, Hon. Rogelio Valdez, was recently elected with our firm’s heavy support, and is a man who believes in the sanctity of jury verdicts.”

    The letter goes on to name Justices Errlinda Castillo, Nelda Rodriguez, J. Bonner Dorsey, Federico Hinojosa and Linda Yanez, and says his firm also has financially supported them.

    Strangely enough, this was seen as injuring his election chances, and he dropped out in October. Sanchez might take comfort in the fact that eventual Democratic nominee Rick Norgiega, didn’t even file his paperwork until July 11 of 2007, and that he eventually raised over $4 million. Or it would be comforting, if not for the fact that Cornyn raised $13 million and beat him by 12 percentage points despite the Obama wave in 2008.

    2006 Senate Race

    In the 2006 election cycle, eventual Democratic nominee (and yet another trial lawyer) Barbara Ann Radnofsky had already raised $355,218 by April 5, 2005. By July 5, 2005, she would amass a total of just under half a million dollars. By the time the race was done, she would raise just shy of $1.5 million, and, despite it being a Democratic wave election year, Kay Baily Hutchison would raise over $6 million and would wallop her 61.7% to 36%.

    2002 Senate Race

    Eventual Democratic nominee Ron Kirk didn’t even file his first campaign report until December 7, 2001, and still managed to raise over $9 million for the race. Kirk was part of the Democratic Party’s 2002 “Dream Team” along with Tony Sanchez and John Sharp: One black, one Hispanic, and one white all running serious, well-funded, top of the ticket campaigns in a year in which the party out of the White House usually does well. They all lost. Kirk did better than Sanchez (losing to Rick Perry), but worse than John Sharp (losing to David Dewhurst).

    By the way, Tony Sanchez spent $60 million of his own money for the privilege of getting creamed by Rick Perry, who took over 60% of the vote, thus disproving two theories beloved by political consultants (money is everything, and the Hispanic vote will make Democrats in Texas competitive Real Soon Now) in one fell swoop.

    Conclusion

    Ricardo Sanchez’s military background gives him several distinct advantages other Democratic candidates have not had, but quick access to significant campaign funds is not among them. Certainly the pay for Lieutenant (three star) General in the united States Army isn’t chickenfeed (about $143,000 a year), but it’s far short of what he would need to self-finance his campaign. Financially, Sanchez’s campaign is going to suffer from him not being a trial lawyer, or, well, Ron Kirk, who was (and presumably still is) amazingly well-connected in both business and Democratic political circles.

    Ricardo Sanchez is already behind where most recent Texas Democratic senatorial candidates were during this part of the fundraising cycle. And all of them lost.

    Norway Shooter Anders Behring Breivik: Deadlier and Weirder

    July 23rd, 2011

    The case of alleged Oslo bomber and Utoya island shooter Anders Behring Breivik gets stranger. The only constant seems to be that whatever I say about him in this post is likely to be proven wrong by the time I put up the next:

  • This does not seem to be an act of Islamic terrorism (despite the claim of responsibility by Ansar al-Islam).
  • The death toll is now being reported as 92, despite my earlier incredulity. That would make Breivik the deadliest spree shooter/active shooter in the history of the world.
  • How did he manage to kill so many? Evidently Breivik was dressed as a policeman and had an hour and a half to carry out his spree, since the real police couldn’t even reach the island for 40 minutes. (Remember, when seconds count, the police are minutes away.)

    Why didn’t anyone shoot back? Because in Norway, though they have much laxer gun control laws than the rest of Europe, self defense “is practically never accepted as a reason for gun ownership.” And weapons cannot be carried loaded.

    Why did he do it? A lot of reports say he’s a “right-wing extremist” and/or an “anti-immigration/anti-Muslim” extremist.

    There are translations of some of his writings/Internet posts up. A quick skim does show an anti-multiculturalism/anti-Muslim immigration bias. How killing Norwegian children furthers that cause is unclear. If anything, his killing spree would probably damage the cause of opposing the Islamization of Europe.

    Is he crazy? Well, you have to be crazy and/or evil to open fire on a group of children, but even in translation his writings don’t have the rambling, impenetrable quality that Jared Lee Loughner’s screeds have. To me it seems like that Breivik will be found sane and face the maximum penalty.

    Which, in Norway, is 21 years in jail. Or less than 3 months a murder.

    Here are the top twelve search terms for people reaching my blog today:

    anders behring breivik black metal
    anders behring breivik metal
    anders behring breivik jew
    anders breivik black metal
    anders behring breivik freemason
    anders behring breivik opus dei
    anders behring breivik jewish
    anders behring breivik “black metal”
    anders behring black metal
    anders behring breivik convert
    anders behring breivik muslim convert

    Uh folks, most of those terms were included in my post as a joke

    There’s the problem with conspiracy theories: Evidently a conspiracy can be behind any evil action, even those that don’t appreciably advance the interests of said conspiracy. I cannot for the life of me see how shooting Norwegian schoolchildren would further the cause of either the Pope or the Elders of Zion in taking over the world. [Just to be clear: Pope=Real guy, no particular plan for world domination beyond proselytizing, Elders of Zion=fake Jewish conspiracy group created by the Czar’s secret police and regurgitated by every brain-dead anti-semite since. I wouldn’t think you would need to explain these things, but those search stats above and some recent comments suggest otherwise…]

    The black metal reference was a half-joke, since the early Norway black metal scene did result in a rash of church burnings back in the 1990s, and a government building bombing wouldn’t be a giant leap. (The lads seemed to have calmed down a bit since, though Varg Vikernes, the black metal musician convicted not only of arson, but also of murdering a band-mate, was released from prison in 2009. Remember that 21 year limit? Vikernes served 16 years.)