Dear California: You Know That Money Will Be Wasted, and You Know Those Tax Hikes Will Be Permanent

September 28th, 2012

I’ve got another Texas vs. California piece coming around on the guitar, but I thought there was enough here to warrant a separate post.

Hold on to your hats, but it seems that California voters might, just might, be catching on that the Democrats who run California’s state government are wasting their money.

I will now wait for the indignant shouts of incredulous outrage to die down.

Support for Gov. Jerry Brown’s plan for billions of dollars in tax hikes on the November ballot is slipping amid public anxiety about how politicians spend money, but voters still favor the proposal, according to a new USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times poll.

Well, I did say “might.”

The findings suggest that voters are leery of sending more cash to Sacramento in the wake of a financial scandal at the parks department, spiraling costs for a multibillion-dollar high-speed rail project to connect Northern and Southern California and ill-timed legislative pay raises.

If voters aren’t willing to stop spending for a $100 billion train to nowhere that everyone know will never be completed, and which would lose even more money every year if it was, when will they?

Brown’s measure would temporarily raise income tax rates on high earners for seven years and boost the state sales tax by a quarter-cent for four years in a bid to avoid steep cuts in funds for schools and other programs.

Note that word: “temporary.”

Anyone with even a passing knowledge of the way politics actually works knows that there’s no such thing as a “temporary” tax hike. The only thing that prevents Democrats (and establishment Republicans) from spending every cent of every tax collected and more is booting them out of office. Raising taxes simply ensures that they’ll spend all the new revenue and additional money they don’t have on top of that. And with the fiscal tsunami California is facing from bloated government, spiraling debt, and gold-plated public employee union pensions that will bankrupt the state, those “temporary” taxes will never be repealed. Ever.

And two or four years down the line, the next Democratic governor will be asking the voters to approve another “temporary” tax hike…

Team Gallego Lies About Rep. Canseco

September 28th, 2012

As previously reported, the Texas 23rd Congressional District is one of the most closely watched races in the country. As such, it’s no surprise that the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee is rolling out attack ads against incumbent Republican Rep. Francisco “Quico” Canseco on behalf of Democratic challenger Pete Gallego.

And, much like the national Democratic attack ads, it’s filled with lies.

But don’t take my word for it. WOAI in San Antonio has done the heavy lifting in debunking team Gallego’s claims:

Tell Us What Your Really Think

September 27th, 2012

British atheist commentator and comedian Pat Condell let’s Islam have it with both barrels:

I doubt any of these sentiments will be new to anyone following attempts to contain Jihadism, but are seldom expressed with such pithy concision and free of even the slightest nods to PC sensibilities.

There was a time when Islam was given the benefit the doubt by many people in the west. Now we think it’s poison and we wish we’d never heard of it, because 20 years of baseless grievance mongering and knee-jerk offense have shown us this religion for what it really is. Now we don’t like it, we don’t trust it, and we are never going to respect it. And we don’t care how Muslims feel about that.

And to think how many liberals got their panties in a knot over Elizabeth Moon’s far milder criticisms.

Watch the whole thing.

(Hat tip: Roger Kimball via Instapundit.)

The New York Times Really Does Think You’re a Moron

September 26th, 2012

Right after I talked about how the mainstream media thinks you’re stupid enough to swallow badly skewed polls, Jim Geraghty reports that the New York Times is proving my point all over again by publishing a poll with more Democrats and fewer Republicans in the sample than in 2008 exit polls.

Ohio 2008 exits: 39% Democrat, 31% Republican, 30% Independent.

Ohio New York Times/Quinnipiac 2012 sample: 35% Democrat, 26% Republican, 35% Independent.

In this sample, the partisan split is D+9 compared to D+8 four years ago, and the GOP is five percentage points smaller than in 2008.

Pennsylvania 2008 exits: 44% Democrat, 37% Republican, 18% Independent.

Pennsylvania New York Times/Quinnipiac 2012 sample: 39% Democrat, 28% Republican, 27% Independent.

Somehow a D+7 split has turned into D+11 split, and Republicans’ share of the electorate is nine percentage points less than they were four years ago.

Florida 2008 exits: 37% Democrat, 34% Republican, 29% Independent.

Florida New York Times/Quinnipiac 2012 sample: 36% Democrat, 27% Republican, 33% Independent.

Each party’s share only shifts a few percentage points, but the overall split goes from D+3 to D+9.

One again, the New York Times thinks Republicans are too stupid to figure out the con. If they’re going to be that absurdly biased, why not just cut out the middleman and poll Obama for America staffers directly?

Remember: The business model of The New York Times is to envelop liberals in a soft, warm, comforting cocoon of reassurance that their ideas and leaders are popular. You saw this in 2010, when it dangerously blinded them to the coming Republican wave until too late. The same patterns is repeating itself this year.

A Bit on Polling (or, Why the Media Thinks You’re a Moron)

September 25th, 2012

Remember how how incredibly tight the 1980 election was? How Ronald Reagan managed to edge Jimmy Carter at the last minute despite losing Texas and New York?

Probably not, mainly because that didn’t happen. But as Jeffrey Lord’s story makes clear, that was the narrative the New York Times was pushing most of the fall, and they had “polls” to back it up.

In the pantheon of lies, damn lies, and statistics, polls aren’t even as valid as statistics. At this point, polls by the usual MSM suspects (NYT, PPP, CBS, MS/NBC, Time, Newsweek, NPR, Washington Post, and Los Angeles Times, just to name a few) aren’t designed to gauge the race, they’re designed to encourage Democrats and discourage Republicans. They are, as Lord notes and Washington Post editor Ben Bradlee admitted to Ed Rollins, offering up “in kind contributions” to the Democrats.

So let’s take a brief look at the many ways in which the MSM is distorting polls for the benefit of Obama and the Democrats.

  • Dick Morris (who knows a thing or two about polling) thinks the idea that an Obama victory is in the offing is bunk. “All of the polling out there uses some variant of the 2008 election turnout as its model for weighting respondents and this overstates the Democratic vote by a huge margin.” He also notes that even the skewed polls show Obama at less than 50%, and “the undecided vote always goes against the incumbent.”
  • By one analysis, pollsters are oversampling Democrats by an average of 6.1%.
  • More evidence that the media is oversampling Democrats.
  • A technical analysis of how that dynamic applies to Pennsylvania.
  • Jay Cost notes that “polls that do a poor job of differentiating enthusiastic non-voters from enthusiastic voters are going to overestimate Obama’s margin.”
  • Every week you see the media going to bat for Obama, and every week we see more evidence of lack of enthusiasm on the part of Democrats compared to 2008. 2010 did happen, no matter how much the media would like to pretend it didn’t. The Tea Party hasn’t gone away, nor suddenly decided that they like Obama’s free-spending ways after all. The fundamentals of our ailing economy and staggering unemployment haven’t gone away either. And remember: Republicans now outnumber Democrats in party identification.

    There’s a lot better chance that this election’s results will look like 1980 than that they will look like 2008.

    Dick Armey Aims to Unseat Speaker Joe Straus

    September 24th, 2012

    Well, this is very interesting:

    FreedomWorks, which helped insurgent Ted Cruz snatch the GOP nod for U.S. Senate from Lt. Gov. David Dewhurst, said Monday it will put its muscle behind toppling Texas House Speaker Joe Straus of San Antonio from his leadership post.

    Armey’s one sharp cookie, and he plays hardball. Conservatives came up short when they challenged the moderate Straus before last session, but the incoming Texas House looks to be more conservative, and a lot of Straus’s committee chairs lost in the primary. But Straus is no pushover, and I imagine he still sits on a big pile of legislative IOUs, as well as lobbyist juice and gambling money. Will a disgruntled David Dewhurst throw his still-considerably clout behind his counterpart in the House?

    This promises to be a very interesting fight…

    Update: Here’s the Freedomworks press release, where Brendan Steinhauser says they’re supporting State Rep. Bryan Hughes for Speaker.

    LinkSwarm for September 23, 2012

    September 23rd, 2012

    Random swarm of interesting links for your amusement and edification:

  • Just in case you didn’t notice, in Obama’s interview with Univision (where he faced much tougher questions that from America’s lapdog media), Obama pretty much admitted that he failed, because “you can’t change Washington from the inside.” Really? I’m sure that platform would have gotten you a lot of votes in 2008.
  • Nice George Will profile of Tea Party-backed Utah congressional candidate Mia Love.
  • Why Wisconsin is in play in 2012.
  • Mitt Romney donated $4,020,772 to charity in 2011. Meanwhile, Obama was too busy to donate $400 so his half-brother could eat for a year.
  • Barack Obama is so awesome he can fit 18,000 people in a 5,000 seat arena.
  • In what high esteem to Nancy Pelosi and Harry Reid hold Obama? Take a look:

  • More Shenanigans on the Round Rock ISD board.
  • Don’t read this if you love dogs or have high blood pressure. More of that special quality of service we’ve come to expect from United Airlines.
  • Finally, Ladies and Gentlemen, I give you the Most Embarrassing Emmy Awards Outfit of All Time:

  • Texas vs. California: First Day of Fall Edition

    September 21st, 2012

    Time for another Texas vs. California round-up of how the Lone Star State is kicking the not-so-Golden State’s ass in just about every measure except signing NBA free-agents.

  • You know how bad California’s debt was? Well, it’s worse than that. A lot worse. Try “at least $167 billion and as much as $335 billion.”
  • California may see more bankruptcies. (Gee, ya think?) And Jerry Brown’s desperate hunt for money is pushing more cities that way.
  • Texas continues to outperform the rest of the nation in export growth.
  • Is Democrat-run California broke because it’s corrupt? “The governor and Democratic leaders are no more serious about reforming pensions than they are about shuttering state parks. The goal they are serious about is raising taxes.”
  • Bankrupt San Bernandino eliminates almost 100 jobs.
  • You know how some claimed California beat Texas in job growth? Yeah, not so much.
  • How bad has it gotten? Minor league hockey team has “Our City Isn’t Bankrupt Night” to taunt rival Stockton.
  • Texas’ tort reforms worked, doubling the number of Texas doctors between 2000 and 2005.
  • Proposed Romney Ad: Burying the American Dream

    September 20th, 2012

    FADE IN: Long shot of funeral.

    CUT TO: Shot of Obama in a black suit standing near an open grave.

    Obama: The American Dream enjoyed over 200 years of life.

    CUT TO: Men with Obama For America t-shirts with shovels picking up dirt from a pile labeled DEFICIT SPENDING and tossing it down into the grave.

    Obama: But it’s time for us to bury it today. It’s outlived its usefulness.

    CUT TO: Several young children at the bottom of the grave, already partially buried, as dirt rains down on their heads.

    Child: Wait, we’re not dead! Stop burying us!

    CUT To: Obama.

    Obama: It was a fine dream, but we have to move on to another dream: Of a government welfare state present at every moment of every American’s lives…

    CUT TO: Men shoveling in more dirt.

    Obama: From the cradle…

    CUT TO: Children in hole.

    Obama:…to the grave.

    Children: Stop! Just give us a chance! We want our dreams too!

    CUT TO: Obama.

    Obama: Farewell American dream. It was nice while it last.

    CUT TO: Children in grave.

    Children: Stop! Stop!

    CUT TO: Long shot of funeral, as the men continue to fill the grave.

    Children: (screaming) STOOOOOOOP!

    FADE OUT


    Anyone know the best way to send this to Romney, Restore Our Future, or American Crossroads?

    Benghazi Attack Mastermind Released from Gitmo?

    September 19th, 2012

    According to reports, former Guantanamo Bay detainee Sufyan Ben Qumu (AKA Sofiane Ibrahim Gammu) “was likely involved in the attack [on Benghazi], and even may have led the attack on the consulate.”

    “Qumu—a Libyan—was released from the US prison at Guantanamo Bay in 2007 and transferred to Libyan custody under the condition that he would be kept in jail. He wasn’t.”

    Another glaring example of why Obama’s pie-in-the-sky promises to close Guantanamo Bay were a bad idea. And so far Obama’s response to an act of war that involved the murder of American government officials has been muted and incoherent.

    Like many liberals, Obama just can’t seem to wrap his head around the fact that, whether we want to be or not, we’re at war against radical Islam around the globe. These weren’t “spontaneous protests” by random Arabs mysteriously radicalized by a YouTube video, they were planned attacks by radical Islamic terrorists. That is one of the many reasons Obama makes a singularly poor Commander-in-Chief, and why he should be replaced with Mitt Romney.